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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-05 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,887.31 (+1.3%) | 3.8 | 2.0% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 22% ±31 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 6% ±7 | 21% ±28 | 49% ±57 | 88% | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 47 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,887.08–6,890.78 (+1.3%) | 3.8 | 2.0% | 3h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 6,869.21 (+1.1%) | 3.0 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 33% ±33 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 8% ±8 | 33% ±33 | 51% ±57 | 86% | 2.9d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,853.11–6,853.18 (+0.8%) | 2.4 | 8.2% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 49% ±49 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 12% ±12 | 47% ±44 | 82% ±53 | 92% | 1.5d | 0.40% | 0.30% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,827.95 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 55% ±37 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 35% ±14 | 57% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 96% | 21h | 0.22% | 0.48% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,811.99 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 2.1% | 2h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 88% ±36 | 21% ±24 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 65% ±22 | 90% ±34 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.43% | 0.35% | 18 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,798.39–6,805.78 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 89% ±30 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 79% ±15 | 88% ±29 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.42% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,795.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,781.61 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.3% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 79% ±40 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 76% ±17 | 80% ±39 | 80% | 88% | 1h | 0.86% | 0.37% | 23 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,757.73–6,772.52 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 69% ±32 | 35% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 53% ±14 | 69% ±32 | 75% ±49 | 92% | 3h | 0.61% | 0.25% | 49 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,709.69–6,754.04 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 3.6% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 39% ±32 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 25% ±12 | 38% ±32 | 50% ±57 | 63% | 5.0d | 0.59% | 0.26% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,737.41 (-0.9%) | 2.4 | 8.8% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 48× | 19% ±32 | 41% ±22 | 23% ±19 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 8% ±9 | 19% ±31 | 31% ±64 | 34% | > 7d | 0.72% | 0.25% | 36 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-3.6%) | 10 | 0.2% | 11m | 6.8d ago · 41× | 3% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 10% ±24 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,795.95 | 6,738.73 | 6,853.11 | target | +1.09% |