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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-06 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.64 (+2.2%) | 6.0 | 0.6% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 16% ±41 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 5% ±11 | 16% ±41 | 47% | 79% | 4.9d | 0.22% | 0.48% | 17 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,887.08–6,890.78 (+1.8%) | 4.9 | 2.1% | 3h | 21.4d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 6,886.71 (+1.8%) | 4.8 | 2.1% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 22% ±31 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 4% ±6 | 21% ±28 | 55% ±56 | 85% | 2.9d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,870.06 (+1.5%) | 4.2 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 16% ±27 | 22% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±25 | 35% ±54 | 73% | 5.0d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,853.03–6,855.67 (+1.3%) | 3.5 | 8.5% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 32% ±46 | 29% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 4% ±7 | 31% ±40 | 67% ±65 | 90% | 2.4d | 0.39% | 0.37% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,814.2 (+0.7%) | 1.9 | 2.2% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 67% ±65 | 21% ±24 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 31% ±27 | 69% ±64 | 92% | 92% | 21h | 0.43% | 0.35% | 11 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,798.39–6,805.78 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 4.7% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 61% ±39 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 39% ±16 | 58% ±39 | 93% ±36 | 97% | 1.0d | 0.44% | 0.42% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,785.84 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 44× | 94% ±26 | 13% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 75% ±20 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.49% | 18 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,765.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,709.69–6,754.04 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 3.8% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 80% ±26 | 34% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 64% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 89% ±35 | 91% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.26% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,706 (-0.9%) | 2.4 | 4.2% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 32% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 23% ±18 | 32% ±53 | 41% | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,683.82–6,691.21 (-1.1%) | 3.0 | 1.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 30% ±32 | 35% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 19% ±11 | 30% ±32 | 49% ±57 | 70% | 3.9d | 0.61% | 0.25% | 45 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,765.85 | 6,664.97 | 6,854.14 | target | +1.29% |