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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-07 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 6,911.67 (+2.7%) | 6.7 | 2.7% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 66× | 7% ±22 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±22 | 53% ±69 | 70% | 3.0d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,850.96–6,864.76 (+1.8%) | 4.5 | 8.0% | 12h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 20% ±32 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±17 | 34% ±16 | 33 | 3% ±6 | 19% ±29 | 49% ±69 | 77% | 3.9d | 0.36% | 0.28% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 6,824.25 (+1.4%) | 3.5 | 4.1% | 6h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 26% ±33 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 26% ±30 | 66% ±54 | 91% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 45 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,798.39–6,805.78 (+1.0%) | 2.5 | 4.9% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 38% ±48 | 33% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 14% ±13 | 41% ±43 | 78% ±58 | 87% | 2.0d | 0.48% | 0.36% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,796.11 (+1.0%) | 2.5 | 4.2% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 44× | building | 13% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.41% | 0.49% | 9 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,754.04–6,772.52 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 2.0% | 4h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 90% ±34 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 52% ±21 | 87% ±33 | 96% | 96% | 4h | 0.29% | 0.56% | 21 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,733.71–6,734.3 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.9% | 16h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 90% ±34 | 23% ±21 | 32% ±23 | 44% ±24 | 16 | 76% ±19 | 88% ±37 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 0.43% | 0.47% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,729.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,687.52–6,691.21 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 2.3% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 56% ±34 | 33% ±19 | 26% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 35% ±13 | 57% ±32 | 67% ±53 | 89% | 22h | 0.56% | 0.30% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,646.87–6,676.43 (-0.8%) | 1.9 | 5.0% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 39% ±34 | 33% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 36% ±16 | 33 | 19% ±11 | 42% ±32 | 58% ±56 | 70% | 2.0d | 0.55% | 0.27% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,550.78 (-2.6%) | 6.5 | 0.2% | 13m | 6.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.