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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-10 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,911.67–6,916.69 (+1.5%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 23% ±28 | 32% ±17 | 37% ±17 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 5% ±6 | 23% ±28 | 53% ±56 | 87% | 3.1d | 0.43% | 0.30% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,852.76–6,863.36 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 10.3% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 53% ±33 | 27% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 33 | 30% ±12 | 53% ±33 | 72% ±51 | 87% | 24h | 0.36% | 0.33% | 55 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.63–6,869.2 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 5.3% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 61% ±36 | 32% ±21 | 27% ±20 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 45% ±15 | 61% ±36 | 82% ±53 | 86% | 21h | 0.44% | 0.30% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,808.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,799.8–6,807.11 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.1% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 88% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 77% ±12 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.31% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,796.11 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.0% | 8h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 80% ±39 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 72% ±18 | 80% ±39 | 80% | 88% | 1h | 0.82% | 0.42% | 23 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 2.1% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 60% ±34 | 32% ±18 | 25% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 37% ±13 | 60% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 88% | 22h | 0.58% | 0.36% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,733.48 (-1.1%) | 2.5 | 9.0% | 13h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 28% ±29 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 21% ±11 | 28% ±29 | 40% ±55 | 57% | 6.0d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,704.83 (-1.5%) | 3.5 | 3.9% | 6h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 21% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 18% ±13 | 21% ±35 | 26% ±61 | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,808.72 | 6,852.92 | 6,710.11 | expired | +0.08% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,808.72 | 6,861.12 | 6,775.31 | stop | +0.08% |