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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-10 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,911.67–6,916.69 (+1.7%) | 3.8 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 19% ±27 | 32% ±17 | 37% ±17 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±27 | 50% ±57 | 84% | 3.1d | 0.43% | 0.30% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,852.76–6,863.36 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 10.5% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 46% ±33 | 27% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 33 | 18% ±11 | 46% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 82% | 1.5d | 0.36% | 0.33% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,796.15–6,807.11 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.8% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 87% ±30 | 32% ±21 | 27% ±20 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 77% ±16 | 87% ±30 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.30% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,794.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,787.45 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.9% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 80% ±39 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 73% ±18 | 81% ±39 | 81% | 88% | 1h | 0.82% | 0.42% | 24 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 77% ±29 | 32% ±18 | 25% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 54% ±14 | 77% ±29 | 82% ±44 | 93% | 3h | 0.58% | 0.36% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,719.44–6,748.66 (-0.7%) | 1.5 | 6.4% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 59% ±29 | 32% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 35% ±12 | 59% ±29 | 72% ±44 | 80% ±56 | 22h | 0.59% | 0.31% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,733.48 (-0.9%) | 2.0 | 9.3% | 14h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 43% ±40 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 31% ±16 | 43% ±40 | 51% ±69 | 60% | 2.0d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 34 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,708.48 (-1.3%) | 2.8 | 4.2% | 6h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 27% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 20% ±14 | 26% ±39 | 33% ±65 | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,794.19 | 6,861.12 | 6,765.09 | expired | +0.52% |