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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.69 (+1.5%) | 3.3 | 1.0% | 2h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 26% ±30 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±5 | 25% ±28 | 66% ±54 | 92% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,900.12 (+1.3%) | 2.8 | 5.1% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 66× | 35% ±30 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 11% ±8 | 34% ±29 | 54% ±56 | 88% | 2.0d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 61 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.63–6,869.2 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 6.1% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 70% ±34 | 32% ±21 | 27% ±20 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 53% ±14 | 70% ±32 | 83% ±43 | 96% | 3h | 0.44% | 0.30% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,841.32–6,852.76 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 5.4% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 71% ±27 | 26% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 52% ±12 | 67% ±28 | 85% ±35 | 92% ±38 | 7h | 0.33% | 0.33% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,819.28 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.9% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 85% ±31 | 29% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 79% ±14 | 85% ±31 | 91% ±39 | 94% | 1h | 0.43% | 0.34% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,814.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,796.15–6,807.11 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.6% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 84% ±25 | 32% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 72% ±12 | 85% ±23 | 91% ±33 | 92% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.31% | 51 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 2.4% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 55% ±33 | 32% ±18 | 25% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 33% ±12 | 54% ±33 | 65% ±54 | 89% | 23h | 0.58% | 0.36% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,764.33 (-0.7%) | 1.6 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.7d ago · 58× | 41% ±43 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 27% ±16 | 40% ±43 | 46% ±69 | 59% | 4.0d | 0.82% | 0.42% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,732.18 (-1.2%) | 2.7 | 8.5% | 13h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 25% ±28 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 17% ±10 | 24% ±26 | 36% ±54 | 56% | 6.9d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,712.14 (-1.5%) | 3.3 | 4.5% | 6h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 21% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±12 | 19% ±31 | 25% ±60 | 25% | > 7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,814.33 | 6,819.28 | 6,860.96 | target | -0.54% |