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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.69 (+1.3%) | 2.8 | 1.1% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 33% ±33 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 9% ±8 | 32% ±30 | 74% ±50 | 92% | 1.9d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,900.12 (+1.0%) | 2.2 | 5.1% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 41% ±32 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 14% ±9 | 40% ±32 | 54% ±56 | 90% | 2.0d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,843.63–6,869.2 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 6.1% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 83% ±30 | 32% ±21 | 27% ±20 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 64% ±15 | 82% ±31 | 88% ±45 | 97% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.30% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,841.32–6,852.76 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.5% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 79% ±27 | 26% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 64% ±13 | 77% ±28 | 87% ±39 | 92% | 2h | 0.33% | 0.33% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,829.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,821.72–6,829.02 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.1% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 87% ±23 | 32% ±15 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 76% ±12 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.35% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,825.58 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.5% | 9h | 7.5d ago · 75× | 83% ±30 | 29% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 68% ±16 | 84% ±29 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.26% | 35 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 2.4% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 45% ±33 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±32 | 58% ±56 | 84% | 2.0d | 0.60% | 0.30% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,764.33 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 24% ±38 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 14% ±12 | 24% ±34 | 36% ±66 | 48% | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.38% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,730.08 (-1.5%) | 3.2 | 7.7% | 12h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 16% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 11% ±7 | 16% ±21 | 29% ±44 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,712.14 (-1.7%) | 3.7 | 4.5% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 16% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 13% ±11 | 15% ±29 | 21% ±56 | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,829.82 | 6,841.32 | 6,730.08 | target | +0.21% |