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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.69 (+1.0%) | 2.5 | 0.8% | 1h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 34% ±31 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 10% ±8 | 33% ±29 | 74% ±50 | 93% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,877 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 70% ±27 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 54% ±12 | 70% ±27 | 83% ±37 | 96% ±28 | 4h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,852.45–6,855.13 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.6% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 85% ±25 | 26% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 76% ±12 | 86% ±23 | 91% ±32 | 95% | 1h | 0.33% | 0.33% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,848.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,821.72–6,829.02 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 5.4% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 74% ±26 | 32% ±15 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 60% ±11 | 75% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 90% ±42 | 1h | 0.55% | 0.35% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,820.46 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 5.3% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 59% ±30 | 29% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 49% ±13 | 60% ±30 | 76% ±48 | 81% | 18h | 0.44% | 0.26% | 61 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-1.1%) | 2.8 | 2.1% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 31% ±32 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 17% ±10 | 29% ±32 | 48% ±57 | 71% | 3.9d | 0.60% | 0.30% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,764.33 (-1.2%) | 3.0 | 1.0% | 2h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 15% ±27 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±7 | 15% ±25 | 26% ±50 | 35% | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.38% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,729.86 (-1.7%) | 4.3 | 6.4% | 10h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 11% ±16 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 6% ±5 | 10% ±16 | 21% ±36 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,715.79 (-1.9%) | 4.8 | 4.3% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 8% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±6 | 7% ±17 | 11% ±36 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,848.09 | 6,820.46 | 6,877.68 | expired | -0.06% |