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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.69 (+1.0%) | 2.4 | 0.8% | 1h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 31% ±30 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 11% ±8 | 30% ±30 | 73% ±50 | 92% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,871.76 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.1% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 66× | 77% ±26 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 60% ±12 | 77% ±26 | 88% ±36 | 95% | 2h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,852.76–6,855.6 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.7% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 85% ±25 | 26% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 76% ±12 | 86% ±24 | 91% ±32 | 95% | 1h | 0.33% | 0.33% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,851.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,821.72–6,829.02 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 5.4% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 74% ±25 | 32% ±15 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 57% ±11 | 74% ±25 | 85% ±35 | 90% ±42 | 2h | 0.55% | 0.35% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,818.64 (-0.5%) | 1.2 | 4.9% | 7h | 7.7d ago · 75× | 48% ±33 | 29% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 34% ±12 | 49% ±33 | 73% ±50 | 79% | 1.0d | 0.44% | 0.26% | 56 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-1.2%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 30% ±32 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 17% ±10 | 29% ±32 | 48% ±57 | 69% | 3.9d | 0.60% | 0.30% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,765.57 (-1.3%) | 3.1 | 1.1% | 2h | 7.5d ago · 58× | 16% ±25 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±6 | 15% ±23 | 27% ±50 | 35% | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.38% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,715.79–6,729.21 (-1.8%) | 4.4 | 6.2% | 10h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 8% ±14 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 15% ±31 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 92 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.