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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.69 (+1.1%) | 2.7 | 0.7% | 1h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 31% ±30 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 10% ±8 | 30% ±28 | 72% ±51 | 92% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,871.76 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 4.0% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 72% ±25 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 55% ±12 | 71% ±26 | 84% ±36 | 96% ±28 | 4h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,852.76–6,855.6 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 10.9% | 17h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 81% ±26 | 26% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 70% ±12 | 83% ±23 | 88% ±36 | 94% | 1h | 0.33% | 0.33% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,844.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,821.72–6,832.68 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 5.6% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 81% ±24 | 33% ±15 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 36 | 68% ±12 | 82% ±24 | 90% ±33 | 92% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.31% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,830.56 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 5.7% | 8h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 71% ±31 | 28% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 57% ±14 | 70% ±32 | 83% ±43 | 85% | 2h | 0.50% | 0.25% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,773.95 (-1.0%) | 2.6 | 2.7% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 14% ±26 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 7% ±8 | 14% ±25 | 26% ±61 | 36% | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.38% | 43 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-1.1%) | 2.7 | 2.1% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 30% ±32 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 17% ±10 | 29% ±30 | 48% ±57 | 73% | 3.9d | 0.60% | 0.30% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,719.44–6,729.21 (-1.7%) | 4.2 | 6.1% | 10h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 9% ±15 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 6% ±5 | 9% ±15 | 17% ±33 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 88 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.