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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,916.69 (+0.9%) | 2.9 | 0.4% | 54m | 7.9d ago · 49× | 29% ±30 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 7% ±7 | 28% ±29 | 69% ±52 | 91% | 2.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,852.76–6,869.78 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 11.2% | 17h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 78% ±24 | 28% ±15 | 40% ±16 | 33% ±16 | 34 | 66% ±11 | 79% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.39% | 0.27% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,852 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,847.26 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.0% | 13h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 78% ±31 | 28% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 59% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 1h | 0.50% | 0.25% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,796.15–6,807.11 (-0.7%) | 2.0 | 4.4% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 39% ±32 | 33% ±15 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 36 | 18% ±10 | 39% ±32 | 55% ±56 | 67% | 2.1d | 0.59% | 0.31% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,781.97 (-1.0%) | 3.1 | 2.6% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 14% ±24 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±22 | 26% ±49 | 34% | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.38% | 52 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,752.32–6,770.58 (-1.2%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 24% ±29 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 9% ±8 | 23% ±27 | 39% ±55 | 62% | 5.0d | 0.60% | 0.30% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,723.09–6,729.21 (-1.8%) | 5.4 | 4.9% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 67× | 5% ±11 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 12% ±28 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 97 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 6,852 | 6,723.09 | 6,916.69 | expired | +1.66% |