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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-13 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,917.08 (+1.6%) | 4.5 | 0.4% | 54m | 7.7d ago · 49× | 15% ±23 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±23 | 47% ±56 | 84% | 3.2d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 54 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,884.44–6,890.97 (+1.1%) | 3.2 | 2.0% | 3h | 21.5d ago · 30× | building | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.15% | 0.62% | 9 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,847.26–6,869.78 (+0.6%) | 1.6 | 9.5% | 14h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 41% ±31 | 28% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 33% ±16 | 34 | 18% ±10 | 41% ±31 | 65% ±54 | 87% | 1.6d | 0.40% | 0.29% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,822.43–6,868.12 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 5.1% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 82% ±29 | 29% ±19 | 29% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 64% ±15 | 82% ±29 | 89% ±44 | 98% | 1h | 0.38% | 0.38% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,808 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,799.59–6,806.12 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 88% ±22 | 33% ±15 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 36 | 75% ±12 | 89% ±20 | 93% ±29 | 95% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.31% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,784.48 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.8% | 5h | 7.5d ago · 58× | 62% ±39 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 57% ±16 | 62% ±39 | 68% ±65 | 77% | 2h | 0.79% | 0.38% | 35 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,750.64–6,773.48 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 2.4% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 52% ±31 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 32% ±12 | 52% ±31 | 62% ±55 | 87% | 1.0d | 0.60% | 0.30% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,724.53–6,729.21 (-1.2%) | 3.3 | 5.3% | 8h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 16% ±20 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 11% ±7 | 15% ±19 | 24% ±38 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 0.76% | 0.39% | 82 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,808 | 6,729.21 | 6,862.76 | target | +1.36% |