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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-14 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.81 (+2.9%) | 8.0 | 1.4% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 6% ±34 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 18% | 76% | 4.9d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 17 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,847.26–6,864.76 (+2.0%) | 5.3 | 9.8% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 14% ±25 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±25 | 40% ±68 | 71% | 5.3d | 0.40% | 0.27% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,766.92 (+0.8%) | 2.1 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 44× | 46% ±69 | 13% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 29% ±26 | 45% ±69 | 61% | 93% | 1.1d | 0.41% | 0.49% | 12 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,753.9–6,766.96 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 70% ±52 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 29% ±20 | 70% ±52 | 85% | 95% | 21h | 0.15% | 0.62% | 19 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,734.32–6,743.52 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 8.2% | 13h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 71% ±51 | 27% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 41% ±22 | 71% ±52 | 86% | 95% | 21h | 0.49% | 0.34% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,724.53–6,750.64 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.0% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 87% ±27 | 29% ±19 | 29% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 65% ±15 | 83% ±30 | 87% ±47 | 98% | 1h | 0.38% | 0.38% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,715.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,685.37–6,691.9 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 67% ±31 | 34% ±18 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 48% ±13 | 68% ±29 | 78% ±47 | 93% | 18h | 0.60% | 0.30% | 58 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,715.72 | 6,536.23 | 6,853.44 | expired | -0.29% |