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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.81 (+2.2%) | 5.4 | 1.7% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 12% ±24 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±23 | 36% ±66 | 79% | 4.9d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 43 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,887.7–6,890.97 (+1.8%) | 4.4 | 2.3% | 3h | 21.7d ago · 30× | building | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 8% ±17 | 17% ±52 | 48% | 70% | 6.0d | 0.15% | 0.62% | 10 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,848.12–6,864.76 (+1.2%) | 2.9 | 11.1% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 27% ±27 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 7% ±6 | 26% ±27 | 52% ±57 | 80% | 3.3d | 0.40% | 0.27% | 59 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,796.33–6,806.12 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 5.3% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 70% ±32 | 29% ±19 | 29% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 52% ±14 | 69% ±32 | 83% ±43 | 96% | 3h | 0.38% | 0.38% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,768.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,757.17–6,766.96 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 87% ±30 | 33% ±18 | 23% ±16 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 60% ±18 | 87% ±30 | 94% ±34 | 97% | 1h | 0.58% | 0.36% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,750.63–6,759.39 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 81% ±31 | 25% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 35% ±20 | 22 | 74% ±14 | 81% ±31 | 82% ±53 | 87% | 1h | 0.75% | 0.41% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,724.53–6,750.64 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 5.4% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 77% ±24 | 32% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41% ±16 | 38 | 61% ±11 | 77% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 0.53% | 0.39% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,734.32 (-0.5%) | 1.2 | 9.1% | 14h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 42% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 35% ±19 | 46% ±49 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,768.05 | 6,848.12 | 6,730.81 | stop | -0.49% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,768.05 | 6,850.96 | 6,740.42 | stop | -0.49% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,768.05 | 6,853.44 | 6,702.01 | expired | -0.49% |