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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,888.56 (+2.2%) | 5.1 | 2.7% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 10% ±21 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±21 | 34% ±53 | 72% | 5.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,846.49–6,862.76 (+1.6%) | 3.7 | 12.1% | 16h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 18% ±24 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±24 | 38% ±55 | 75% | 4.5d | 0.40% | 0.27% | 60 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,799–6,807.67 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 7.2% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 42% ±43 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 12% ±11 | 42% ±43 | 71% ±63 | 93% | 2.0d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,748.29–6,760.62 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 9.6% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 84% ±36 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 61% ±19 | 84% ±36 | 92% | 96% | 2h | 0.43% | 0.40% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,737.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,735.44 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 12.3% | 17h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 35% ±54 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 29% ±23 | 35% ±54 | 41% | 41% | > 7d | 1.03% | 0.46% | 15 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,737.41 | 6,852.45 | 6,707.88 | stop | -1.95% |