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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,888.56 (+2.2%) | 4.7 | 2.9% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 11% ±20 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±20 | 38% ±55 | 72% | 4.9d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,846.49–6,863.22 (+1.6%) | 3.4 | 12.7% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 21% ±25 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 5% ±6 | 21% ±25 | 42% ±56 | 76% | 4.0d | 0.40% | 0.27% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,799–6,807.67 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 7.4% | 12h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 48% ±40 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 20% ±12 | 47% ±37 | 71% ±63 | 94% | 1.9d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,743.52–6,751.7 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 13.8% | 19h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 83% ±37 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 65% ±20 | 82% ±37 | 91% | 96% | 2h | 0.43% | 0.40% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,739.65 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,735.44 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 13.5% | 19h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 39% ±55 | 46% ±31 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 37% ±23 | 42% ±56 | 47% | 47% | > 7d | 1.03% | 0.46% | 17 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,739.65 | 6,852.45 | 6,707.88 | stop | -2.04% |