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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,888.56 (+3.2%) | 6.2 | 3.1% | 4h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 9% ±26 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±25 | 25% ±60 | 66% | 6.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,847.26–6,862.98 (+2.6%) | 5.0 | 14.1% | 20h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 16% ±24 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 4% ±5 | 16% ±24 | 36% ±54 | 73% | 5.3d | 0.40% | 0.27% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,732.55–6,738.23 (+0.9%) | 1.7 | 13.1% | 20h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 61% ±55 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 33% ±24 | 61% ±55 | 79% | 94% | 22h | 0.43% | 0.40% | 15 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,721–6,749.89 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 7.5% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 57% ±34 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 35% ±13 | 56% ±34 | 75% ±49 | 94% | 1.0d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 49 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,674.77–6,695 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.0% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 78% ±47 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 67% ±27 | 12 | 44% ±24 | 78% ±47 | 94% | 94% | 6h | 0.26% | 0.56% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,672.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.