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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.42 (+4.7%) | 7.6 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 4% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 12% | 69% | 6.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,847.74–6,864 (+3.7%) | 6.0 | 16.3% | 23h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 10% ±21 | 29% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±21 | 32% ±53 | 69% | 5.1d | 0.40% | 0.27% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,728.03–6,740.41 (+1.9%) | 3.1 | 12.2% | 18h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 27% ±50 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 15% ±17 | 25% ±49 | 60% | 94% | 3.0d | 0.43% | 0.40% | 17 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,719.65–6,750.79 (+1.8%) | 2.9 | 8.2% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 33% ±41 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 10% ±11 | 32% ±41 | 65% ±66 | 92% | 2.8d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 30 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,685.05–6,688.51 (+1.3%) | 2.0 | 2.5% | 4h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 59% ±56 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 67% ±27 | 12 | 34% ±23 | 58% ±56 | 76% | 94% | 21h | 0.26% | 0.56% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,602.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.