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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-18 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.42 (+4.5%) | 7.3 | 3.2% | 5h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 4% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 15% ±50 | 69% | 6.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.74–6,861.04 (+3.5%) | 5.7 | 15.6% | 23h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 12% ±23 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 3% ±5 | 12% ±22 | 35% ±54 | 65% | 4.4d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,810.79 (+2.9%) | 4.8 | 7.3% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 8% ±18 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±17 | 23% ±48 | 64% | 5.9d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,719.65–6,750.79 (+1.6%) | 2.5 | 7.9% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 35% ±42 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 11% ±10 | 34% ±38 | 64% ±67 | 92% | 2.9d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D POC | 6,719.16–6,744.28 (+1.5%) | 2.5 | 7.7% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 29% ±36 | 27% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 29 | 10% ±10 | 29% ±36 | 55% ±69 | 86% | 2.9d | 0.43% | 0.38% | 37 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,681.59–6,691.97 (+1.0%) | 1.6 | 2.7% | 4h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 70% ±45 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 67% ±27 | 12 | 28% ±18 | 69% ±45 | 87% | 96% | 21h | 0.26% | 0.56% | 23 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,633.44 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.1% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 73% ±43 | 25% ±24 | 44% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 54% ±20 | 73% ±43 | 90% | 96% | 2h | 0.43% | 0.35% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,616.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,616.94 | 6,439.59 | 6,744.28 | expired | -0.39% |