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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-19 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.42 (+3.5%) | 5.5 | 3.5% | 5h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 11% ±21 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±21 | 28% ±51 | 61% | 6.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.74–6,861.04 (+2.5%) | 4.0 | 16.4% | 1.0d | 5.8d ago · 66× | 19% ±23 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±23 | 39% ±48 | 70% ±63 | 4.6d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,809.56 (+2.0%) | 3.1 | 7.9% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 26% ±29 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 7% ±7 | 26% ±29 | 42% ±56 | 72% | 4.2d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 56 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,719.65–6,750.79 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 7.9% | 12h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 67% ±31 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 51% ±13 | 67% ±31 | 78% ±47 | 94% | 3h | 0.37% | 0.40% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D POC | 6,719.16–6,739.28 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 7.8% | 12h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 68% ±35 | 27% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 29 | 51% ±15 | 68% ±35 | 83% ±52 | 92% | 4h | 0.43% | 0.38% | 44 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,681.59–6,691.97 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 5h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 78% ±47 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 67% ±27 | 12 | 42% ±23 | 79% ±46 | 95% | 95% | 19h | 0.26% | 0.56% | 17 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,679.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,631.7 (-0.7%) | 1.1 | 2.1% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 76% ±32 | 23% ±17 | 50% ±20 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 69% ±14 | 76% ±32 | 82% ±53 | 87% | 1h | 0.69% | 0.51% | 43 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,679.01 | 6,739.28 | 6,599.68 | target | +1.26% |