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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-19 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.42 (+4.1%) | 6.5 | 3.3% | 5h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 8% ±22 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±22 | 23% ±58 | 63% | 6.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 37 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.74–6,861.04 (+3.1%) | 5.0 | 15.8% | 24h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 17% ±23 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 4% ±5 | 16% ±23 | 37% ±55 | 66% | 5.8d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,810.29 (+2.5%) | 4.0 | 7.5% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 13% ±21 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±20 | 27% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 6.0d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 6,733.49–6,740.51 (+1.4%) | 2.2 | 11.9% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 37% ±39 | 28% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 15% ±11 | 35% ±35 | 57% ±69 | 80% | 2.9d | 0.41% | 0.35% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,723.11–6,750.79 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 8.0% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 43% ±37 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 16% ±11 | 41% ±36 | 67% ±65 | 92% | 2.8d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 43 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,678.13–6,695.43 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 82% ±38 | 31% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 45% ±18 | 83% ±33 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 18h | 0.37% | 0.50% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,674.82 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.6% | 6h | 6.6d ago · 44× | 85% ±35 | 24% ±22 | 47% ±26 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 64% ±18 | 84% ±36 | 90% | 96% | 1h | 0.47% | 0.44% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,645.36 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 70% ±52 | 25% ±24 | 44% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 50% ±22 | 73% ±50 | 88% | 95% | 2h | 0.43% | 0.35% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,642.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,642.93 | 6,641.56 | 6,740.51 | stop | +1.56% |