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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.42 (+2.2%) | 3.3 | 3.8% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 49× | 21% ±25 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±5 | 21% ±25 | 54% ±56 | 76% | 2.9d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 59 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,882.28–6,885.74 (+1.8%) | 2.6 | 4.4% | 7h | 22.0d ago · 30× | 44% ±69 | 31% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 26% ±21 | 53% ±57 | 68% | 84% | 1.0d | 0.37% | 0.50% | 17 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.74–6,861.04 (+1.3%) | 1.9 | 17.2% | 1.1d | 6.2d ago · 66× | 44% ±32 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 19% ±11 | 44% ±32 | 66% ±54 | 87% | 1.6d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,808.59 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 8.5% | 14h | 6.0d ago · 71× | 74% ±24 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 55% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 86% ±34 | 94% ±34 | 2h | 0.29% | 0.26% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,795.77–6,806.15 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 8.6% | 15h | 6.2d ago · 65× | 73% ±31 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 56% ±14 | 73% ±31 | 85% ±41 | 93% | 3h | 0.37% | 0.40% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,762.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,723.11–6,750.79 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 10.1% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 63× | 85% ±22 | 31% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 70% ±12 | 85% ±22 | 92% ±31 | 93% | 1h | 0.52% | 0.35% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 6,733.49–6,739.48 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 14.1% | 20h | 7.2d ago · 75× | 63% ±32 | 31% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 30 | 49% ±14 | 63% ±32 | 73% ±50 | 75% | 21h | 0.53% | 0.32% | 52 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,678.13–6,695.43 (-1.0%) | 1.5 | 3.6% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 51% ±31 | 32% ±17 | 23% ±15 | 45% ±18 | 28 | 30% ±12 | 51% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 90% | 1.0d | 0.55% | 0.37% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,674.82 (-1.3%) | 1.9 | 4.0% | 7h | 8.0d ago · 58× | 31% ±37 | 25% ±19 | 33% ±20 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 19% ±13 | 31% ±37 | 47% ±69 | 58% | 3.9d | 0.67% | 0.45% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,646.94 (-1.7%) | 2.6 | 5.5% | 8h | 8.0d ago · 67× | 27% ±28 | 23% ±17 | 50% ±20 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 20% ±10 | 27% ±28 | 42% ±56 | 61% | 5.0d | 0.69% | 0.51% | 57 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,762.98 | 6,739.48 | 6,617.85 | target | -3.24% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,762.98 | 6,847.74 | 6,641.3 | stop | -3.24% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,762.98 | 6,852.87 | 6,701.1 | stop | -3.24% |