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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,913.42 (+4.7%) | 6.1 | 4.4% | 7h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 7% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 26% ±60 | 59% | 6.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.74–6,861.04 (+3.8%) | 4.8 | 18.9% | 1.2d | 5.6d ago · 66× | 17% ±22 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±22 | 35% ±47 | 62% ±67 | 5.9d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,774.97 (+2.6%) | 3.4 | 6.7% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 23% ±26 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±26 | 34% ±54 | 67% | 5.1d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 6,733.49–6,740.48 (+2.0%) | 2.6 | 13.5% | 20h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 32% ±37 | 28% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 10% ±9 | 37% ±36 | 59% ±68 | 80% | 2.0d | 0.41% | 0.35% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,723.11–6,750.79 (+1.9%) | 2.4 | 10.0% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 65× | 33% ±38 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 10% ±9 | 37% ±36 | 68% ±64 | 90% | 2.0d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 39 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,678.13–6,691.97 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 4.3% | 7h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 73% ±43 | 31% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 25% ±17 | 75% ±42 | 89% | 96% | 21h | 0.37% | 0.50% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,643.29–6,668.91 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 6.2% | 9h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 76% ±38 | 24% ±22 | 44% ±26 | 32% ±25 | 14 | 46% ±18 | 78% ±36 | 93% ±36 | 96% | 18h | 0.46% | 0.42% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,600.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,600.22 | 6,468.54 | 6,740.48 | expired | -0.26% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,600.22 | 6,408.09 | 6,847.74 | expired | -0.26% |