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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,912.61 (+5.6%) | 7.0 | 4.7% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 8% ±21 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 21% ±57 | 58% | 6.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,848.08–6,859.83 (+4.6%) | 5.8 | 19.2% | 1.2d | 5.8d ago · 66× | 10% ±19 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±18 | 29% ±52 | 52% | 4.9d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,719.47–6,750.37 (+2.7%) | 3.3 | 8.3% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 28% ±39 | 28% ±19 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 6% ±8 | 31% ±41 | 64% ±66 | 84% | 2.0d | 0.37% | 0.40% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL | 6,702.23–6,727.19 (+2.4%) | 3.0 | 5.1% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 26% ±27 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 6% ±6 | 25% ±27 | 42% ±56 | 70% | 4.2d | 0.29% | 0.26% | 62 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,684.7–6,692.43 (+2.2%) | 2.7 | 4.0% | 7h | 21.6d ago · 30× | 50% ±57 | 31% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 22% ±18 | 45% ±49 | 68% | 84% | 1.0d | 0.37% | 0.50% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,638.56–6,654.96 (+1.4%) | 1.8 | 5.9% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 45% ±40 | 27% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 29 | 23% ±13 | 46% ±37 | 72% ±62 | 90% | 1.3d | 0.43% | 0.38% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,543.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,534.05 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 0.3% | 31m | 7.6d ago · 67× | 83% ±30 | 26% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 76% ±14 | 84% ±29 | 86% ±47 | 89% | 1h | 0.76% | 0.47% | 35 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,543.99 | 6,638.56 | 6,503.78 | target | +0.91% |