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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,847.29–6,888.47 (+3.5%) | 4.2 | 19.3% | 1.2d | 5.8d ago · 66× | 15% ±20 | 32% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 34% ±17 | 30 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±20 | 33% ±46 | 59% ±68 | 6.1d | 0.40% | 0.31% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,725.11–6,753 (+1.6%) | 2.0 | 10.0% | 14h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 42% ±37 | 27% ±18 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 11% ±10 | 41% ±36 | 69% ±64 | 86% | 1.9d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 42 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,685.27–6,693.24 (+1.0%) | 1.2 | 3.6% | 6h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 80% ±35 | 29% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 65% ±25 | 14 | 29% ±17 | 77% ±37 | 93% ±36 | 97% | 21h | 0.40% | 0.56% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL | 6,678.14–6,705.19 (+0.9%) | 1.1 | 4.0% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 71× | 68% ±26 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 48% ±11 | 68% ±26 | 82% ±38 | 93% ±35 | 18h | 0.29% | 0.26% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,641.61–6,647.2 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.4% | 9h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 86% ±26 | 28% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 69% ±14 | 84% ±27 | 89% ±43 | 94% | 1h | 0.46% | 0.39% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,617.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,544.6 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 1.2% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 69% ±34 | 26% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 62% ±15 | 69% ±34 | 76% ±59 | 81% | 3h | 0.76% | 0.47% | 40 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,617.38 | 6,641.61 | 6,520.56 | target | -0.21% |