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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,896.43 (+4.4%) | 5.6 | 6.7% | 9h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 10% ±20 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±19 | 26% ±49 | 54% | 6.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.29–6,862.95 (+3.7%) | 4.7 | 18.4% | 1.2d | 5.7d ago · 66× | 16% ±22 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 32% ±46 | 57% ±69 | 6.2d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,725.11–6,753 (+1.8%) | 2.3 | 9.4% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 37% ±36 | 27% ±18 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 9% ±8 | 36% ±36 | 68% ±65 | 88% | 2.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,709.18 (+1.6%) | 2.0 | 4.6% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 32× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,681.29–6,705.19 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 2.4% | 5h | 21.6d ago · 30× | 72% ±39 | 29% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 65% ±25 | 14 | 23% ±16 | 72% ±39 | 88% ±45 | 97% | 21h | 0.40% | 0.56% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,668.49 (+1.0%) | 1.2 | 4.5% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 63% ±29 | 24% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 38% ±11 | 63% ±27 | 79% ±40 | 91% ±40 | 21h | 0.29% | 0.26% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,636.76–6,642.41 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 6.6% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 82% ±27 | 28% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 67% ±13 | 82% ±26 | 90% ±34 | 94% | 1h | 0.46% | 0.39% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,603.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,574.09 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.3% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 67× | 81% ±29 | 25% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 71% ±14 | 81% ±29 | 83% ±52 | 86% | 1h | 0.69% | 0.51% | 43 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.