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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-24 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,912.37 (+3.6%) | 4.5 | 5.3% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 11% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±19 | 34% ±47 | 61% ±68 | 6.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.29–6,862.95 (+2.7%) | 3.3 | 20.7% | 1.2d | 5.8d ago · 66× | 18% ±22 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±22 | 40% ±48 | 62% ±67 | 4.4d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 71 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,725.11–6,753 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 7.7% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 66% ±29 | 27% ±18 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 48% ±13 | 66% ±29 | 77% ±47 | 89% | 5h | 0.38% | 0.42% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,721.13 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 7.0% | 9h | 6.8d ago · 32× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 6,681.29–6,705.19 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 5h | 21.6d ago · 30× | 83% ±37 | 29% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 65% ±25 | 14 | 39% ±21 | 83% ±37 | 96% | 96% | 19h | 0.40% | 0.56% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,670.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,636.76–6,668.49 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.1% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 80% ±26 | 25% ±15 | 36% ±17 | 39% ±17 | 31 | 66% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 87% ±38 | 90% | 1h | 0.42% | 0.32% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,574.09 (-1.4%) | 1.8 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 55% ±40 | 25% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 48% ±16 | 55% ±40 | 65% ±66 | 70% | 5h | 0.69% | 0.51% | 38 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,670.05 | 6,764.45 | 6,642.41 | expired | +0.45% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,670.05 | 6,847.29 | 6,596.04 | expired | +0.45% |