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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,912.37 (+3.2%) | 4.0 | 5.2% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 12% ±19 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±19 | 41% ±48 | 68% ±65 | 4.1d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.29–6,862.95 (+2.2%) | 2.8 | 20.3% | 1.2d | 5.7d ago · 66× | 25% ±24 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 7% ±6 | 25% ±24 | 47% ±49 | 68% ±65 | 3.5d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,725.11–6,753 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 7.5% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 76% ±30 | 27% ±18 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 57% ±14 | 76% ±30 | 84% ±42 | 91% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.42% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,717.15 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 5.8% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 32× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 6,696.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,675.95 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 4.2% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 52× | 79% ±33 | 25% ±17 | 39% ±19 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 67% ±15 | 79% ±32 | 87% ±46 | 90% | 1h | 0.34% | 0.25% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,636.76–6,642.41 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 7.5% | 11h | 7.5d ago · 75× | 60% ±29 | 25% ±15 | 34% ±17 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 48% ±12 | 59% ±29 | 74% ±43 | 80% ±55 | 15h | 0.46% | 0.35% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,584.03 (-1.7%) | 2.1 | 2.9% | 4h | 7.5d ago · 67× | 39% ±36 | 25% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 31% ±14 | 38% ±36 | 50% ±69 | 62% | 3.1d | 0.69% | 0.51% | 43 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.