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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,912.37 (+2.4%) | 3.4 | 4.5% | 7h | 7.8d ago · 49× | 19% ±24 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±23 | 50% ±49 | 72% ±62 | 3.9d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,847.29–6,862.95 (+1.5%) | 2.1 | 17.8% | 1.1d | 5.8d ago · 66× | 37% ±28 | 32% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 30 | 13% ±8 | 36% ±28 | 58% ±48 | 79% ±56 | 2.4d | 0.46% | 0.25% | 67 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,816.75–6,872.53 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 7.8% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 65× | 50% ±33 | 27% ±18 | 27% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 31% ±12 | 52% ±33 | 71% ±52 | 85% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,747.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,705.19–6,717.15 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 7.4% | 10h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 78% ±23 | 30% ±14 | 28% ±14 | 42% ±15 | 40 | 62% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 88% ±31 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.39% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,709.18 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 7.1% | 10h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 48% ±49 | 40% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 41% ±19 | 48% ±49 | 52% | 52% | 2.8d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 25 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,681.29–6,693.24 (-0.8%) | 1.1 | 4.2% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 62% ±30 | 31% ±17 | 22% ±15 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 45% ±12 | 63% ±29 | 75% ±42 | 92% ±37 | 18h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,675.95 (-1.1%) | 1.5 | 3.6% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 41% ±39 | 24% ±16 | 41% ±19 | 34% ±18 | 26 | 26% ±14 | 42% ±39 | 60% ±68 | 74% | 2.0d | 0.35% | 0.25% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,636.76–6,642.41 (-1.6%) | 2.2 | 6.5% | 10h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 25% ±28 | 25% ±15 | 34% ±17 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 11% ±8 | 24% ±28 | 47% ±56 | 59% | 4.4d | 0.46% | 0.35% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,531.86 (-3.2%) | 4.5 | 0.7% | 48m | 7.6d ago · 67× | 12% ±16 | 25% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 7% ±5 | 12% ±15 | 27% ±35 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.69% | 0.51% | 100 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,747.7 | 6,854.6 | 6,672.6 | expired | +1.13% |