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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-11-25 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,912.37 (+2.2%) | 4.2 | 3.0% | 5h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 11% ±18 | 31% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±18 | 37% ±47 | 64% ±67 | 5.0d | 0.23% | 0.47% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,854.6 (+1.3%) | 2.5 | 15.0% | 24h | 5.9d ago · 46× | 29% ±45 | 23% ±19 | 32% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 11% ±12 | 27% ±44 | 66% | 71% | 2.0d | 0.36% | 0.38% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,786.39 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.8% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 74% ±27 | 33% ±17 | 45% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 60% ±12 | 74% ±27 | 85% ±40 | 90% | 1h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 60 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,768.94–6,772.92 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.0% | 8h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 81% ±29 | 26% ±18 | 26% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 24 | 68% ±14 | 82% ±29 | 84% ±51 | 89% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,766.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,729.1–6,756.99 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.2% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 85% ±22 | 30% ±14 | 28% ±14 | 42% ±15 | 40 | 70% ±12 | 85% ±22 | 92% ±31 | 93% | 1h | 0.52% | 0.39% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,749.85 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 6.8% | 11h | 5.8d ago · 63× | 90% ±24 | 22% ±17 | 44% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 79% ±13 | 90% ±24 | 95% ±31 | 95% | 1h | 0.52% | 0.16% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL · 7D POC | 6,703.87–6,725.5 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 43% ±34 | 28% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 31 | 29% ±12 | 43% ±32 | 61% ±55 | 71% | 1.4d | 0.43% | 0.31% | 53 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,681.29–6,693.24 (-1.1%) | 2.1 | 2.8% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 42% ±31 | 31% ±17 | 22% ±15 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 26% ±11 | 41% ±31 | 65% ±54 | 87% | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,619.36 (-2.2%) | 4.2 | 4.0% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 18% ±24 | 24% ±18 | 32% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±24 | 31% ±52 | 40% | > 7d | 0.57% | 0.46% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,580.45 (-2.7%) | 5.3 | 1.7% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±13 | 25% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 23% ±34 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 0.69% | 0.51% | 102 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.