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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-05 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.78 (+0.4%) | 1.5 | 0.4% | 19m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 44% ±31 | 28% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 28% ±15 | 34 | 24% ±11 | 45% ±29 | 69% ±45 | 88% ±45 | 1.1d | 0.44% | 0.27% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,869.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,857.92–6,863.19 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 74% ±26 | 27% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 35% ±16 | 36 | 59% ±12 | 73% ±25 | 83% ±37 | 86% ±49 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.21% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,820.07 (-0.7%) | 2.8 | 3.1% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 23% ±24 | 21% ±15 | 52% ±18 | 27% ±16 | 30 | 16% ±9 | 22% ±23 | 36% ±47 | 61% ±68 | 5.0d | 0.91% | 0.35% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,757.86 (-1.6%) | 6.2 | 2.8% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 8% ±15 | 23% ±17 | 31% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 27% ±39 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.48% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,688.91 (-2.6%) | 10 | 1.9% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 11% ±25 | 17% ±42 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 116 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.