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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-08 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.78 (+0.6%) | 2.1 | 0.4% | 19m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 31% ±29 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 11% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 83% | 2.5d | 0.48% | 0.25% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,857.89–6,863.03 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.3% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 83% ±20 | 27% ±14 | 41% ±15 | 32% ±14 | 40 | 71% ±10 | 83% ±20 | 90% ±30 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 0.37% | 0.29% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,856.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,820 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 3.6% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 35% ±33 | 21% ±15 | 52% ±18 | 27% ±16 | 30 | 29% ±13 | 35% ±33 | 45% ±56 | 64% | 3.2d | 0.91% | 0.35% | 47 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,757.86 (-1.4%) | 5.4 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 9% ±15 | 23% ±17 | 31% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 31% ±45 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.48% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,688.91 (-2.4%) | 9.2 | 1.6% | 2h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±24 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,856.64 | 6,857.89 | 6,870.78 | target | +0.04% |
| 14d | POC | short | 6,856.64 | 6,757.86 | 6,895.78 | expired | +0.04% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,856.64 | 6,688.91 | 6,895.78 | expired | +0.04% |