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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-08 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.78 (+0.8%) | 3.1 | 0.4% | 20m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 22% ±23 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±23 | 44% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 4.0d | 0.48% | 0.25% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,857.93–6,868.17 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 5.7% | 8h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 59% ±29 | 27% ±14 | 41% ±15 | 32% ±14 | 40 | 41% ±12 | 59% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 90% ±42 | 21h | 0.37% | 0.29% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,837.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,826.31 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 5.8% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 82% ±25 | 21% ±15 | 52% ±18 | 27% ±16 | 30 | 70% ±12 | 82% ±25 | 84% ±42 | 88% | 1h | 0.91% | 0.35% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,757.86 (-1.2%) | 4.3 | 2.6% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 16% ±22 | 23% ±17 | 31% ±19 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±5 | 16% ±22 | 32% ±46 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.48% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,688.91 (-2.2%) | 7.9 | 1.6% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±24 | 15% ±49 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 101 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.