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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-08 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.78 (+0.7%) | 2.6 | 0.4% | 19m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 26% ±25 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 9% ±6 | 26% ±24 | 49% ±49 | 74% ±61 | 3.4d | 0.48% | 0.25% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,860.15–6,861.3 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 5.5% | 6h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 77% ±22 | 26% ±14 | 41% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 60% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 89% ±28 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 0.35% | 0.26% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,847.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,837.44 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 9.3% | 14h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 69% ±26 | 26% ±14 | 38% ±16 | 36% ±16 | 36 | 54% ±12 | 69% ±26 | 82% ±38 | 88% ±46 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.25% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,826.82–6,828.09 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 7.1% | 11h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 59% ±30 | 22% ±15 | 43% ±18 | 35% ±17 | 30 | 52% ±13 | 60% ±30 | 66% ±54 | 77% | 1.3d | 0.81% | 0.41% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,688.91 (-2.3%) | 8.8 | 1.5% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 12% ±26 | 17% ±43 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 111 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.