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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,895.78 (+0.8%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 18m | 5.6d ago · 66× | 18% ±21 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±21 | 40% ±48 | 65% ±66 | 4.0d | 0.48% | 0.25% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,860.79–6,861.3 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 5.6% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 64% ±26 | 25% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 32% ±14 | 41 | 45% ±11 | 66% ±26 | 84% ±36 | 92% ±38 | 16h | 0.36% | 0.22% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,849.26 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 7.8% | 16h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 82% ±26 | 28% ±15 | 42% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 33 | 71% ±13 | 82% ±26 | 90% ±34 | 94% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.35% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,840.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,826.82–6,834.33 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 9.4% | 13h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 67% ±31 | 23% ±15 | 42% ±17 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 57% ±13 | 65% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 78% | 1.4d | 0.80% | 0.36% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,688.91 (-2.2%) | 8.8 | 1.4% | 1h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 11% ±25 | 17% ±42 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.