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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 1h | 5.5d ago · 66× | 86% ±22 | 30% ±15 | 42% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 68% ±12 | 86% ±21 | 92% ±31 | 93% | 1h | 0.53% | 0.23% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,902.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,868.94–6,875.89 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 4.5% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 63× | 41% ±36 | 28% ±17 | 37% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 25% ±13 | 42% ±34 | 64% ±54 | 72% | 1.9d | 0.53% | 0.19% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,847.14 (-0.8%) | 2.9 | 8.2% | 16h | 7.5d ago · 75× | 18% ±25 | 25% ±14 | 40% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 7% ±7 | 19% ±24 | 45% ±56 | 65% | 4.9d | 0.50% | 0.24% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,832.57–6,834.43 (-1.0%) | 3.6 | 6.8% | 14h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 14% ±17 | 26% ±15 | 40% ±17 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 7% ±5 | 15% ±17 | 31% ±37 | 49% ±69 | 6.9d | 0.83% | 0.35% | 104 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-3.0%) | 11 | 1.8% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 4% ±8 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 10% ±22 | 15% ±40 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 127 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.