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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+0.8%) | 2.7 | 1.3% | 1h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 27% ±23 | 30% ±15 | 42% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 10% ±6 | 28% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 77% ±58 | 2.6d | 0.53% | 0.23% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,868.94–6,875.89 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 4.9% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 66% ±27 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 44% ±11 | 66% ±27 | 83% ±37 | 90% ±41 | 11h | 0.38% | 0.23% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,847.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,847.14 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 8.9% | 18h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 82% ±25 | 25% ±14 | 40% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 63% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 91% ±32 | 95% | 1h | 0.50% | 0.24% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,832.57–6,834.43 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 7.4% | 15h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 70% ±27 | 26% ±15 | 40% ±17 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 58% ±12 | 70% ±27 | 75% ±43 | 82% ±54 | 10h | 0.83% | 0.35% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-2.2%) | 7.4 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 10% ±24 | 15% ±40 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,847.61 | 6,847.14 | 6,883.69 | target | +0.29% |
| 14d | POC | short | 6,847.61 | 6,834.43 | 6,903.46 | target | +0.29% |
| 30d | POC | short | 6,847.61 | 6,696.36 | 6,903.46 | expired | +0.29% |