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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.2%) | 3.4 | 1.5% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 66× | 19% ±21 | 30% ±15 | 42% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±21 | 45% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 4.0d | 0.53% | 0.23% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,868.94–6,876.01 (+0.6%) | 1.9 | 5.8% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 43% ±29 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 20% ±10 | 44% ±29 | 69% ±46 | 86% ±48 | 1.9d | 0.38% | 0.23% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,847.03 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 10.1% | 19h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 78% ±26 | 27% ±15 | 41% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 63% ±12 | 78% ±26 | 90% ±33 | 94% | 2h | 0.43% | 0.36% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,831.27–6,834.43 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 7.4% | 15h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 81% ±34 | 22% ±20 | 43% ±24 | 35% ±23 | 16 | 59% ±18 | 81% ±34 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 1h | 0.51% | 0.45% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,824.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-1.9%) | 5.5 | 2.2% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 8% ±15 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 18% ±38 | 22% ±58 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 75 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.