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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.1%) | 3.1 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 23% ±23 | 28% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 6% ±5 | 23% ±22 | 54% ±44 | 70% ±63 | 2.9d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D POC | 6,865.16–6,868.94 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 5.4% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 50% ±28 | 24% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 43 | 29% ±10 | 50% ±28 | 71% ±45 | 87% ±47 | 1.0d | 0.42% | 0.22% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,847.03–6,849.11 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 9.9% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 81% ±25 | 30% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 33% ±16 | 34 | 64% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 90% ±35 | 93% | 2h | 0.42% | 0.30% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,827.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,819.61–6,820.09 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 7.9% | 11h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 72% ±29 | 28% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 63% ±13 | 72% ±29 | 76% ±48 | 83% | 2h | 0.87% | 0.34% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-1.9%) | 5.3 | 2.3% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 9% ±16 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 5% ±5 | 9% ±16 | 20% ±39 | 24% ±59 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 75 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.