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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+2.3%) | 5.1 | 1.9% | 2h | 7.7d ago · 49× | 10% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 26% ±38 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,868.94–6,875.59 (+1.8%) | 3.9 | 6.7% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 13% ±17 | 25% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 28% ±39 | 55% ±69 | 6.6d | 0.43% | 0.21% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,848.53 (+1.5%) | 3.3 | 12.6% | 22h | 5.7d ago · 51× | 18% ±26 | 37% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±4 | 17% ±25 | 48% ±57 | 77% | 3.8d | 0.41% | 0.17% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 6,811.64–6,822.3 (+0.9%) | 2.0 | 8.4% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 46% ±37 | 25% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 36 | 21% ±12 | 47% ±35 | 68% ±53 | 85% | 1.5d | 0.49% | 0.36% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,773.93 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 79% ±35 | 20% ±19 | 45% ±24 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 53% ±17 | 81% ±32 | 94% ±32 | 97% | 2h | 0.45% | 0.35% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,750.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 2.6% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 48% ±49 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 40% ±20 | 48% ±49 | 60% | 68% | 2.0d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 23 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.