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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+2.7%) | 7.2 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 4% ±14 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 10% ±34 | 32% | > 7d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,868.94–6,881.5 (+2.2%) | 5.8 | 5.6% | 7h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 6% ±15 | 25% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 3% ±4 | 6% ±14 | 22% ±40 | 43% ±69 | 6.9d | 0.43% | 0.21% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,847.64 (+1.9%) | 5.0 | 10.5% | 19h | 5.4d ago · 51× | 14% ±24 | 37% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±4 | 14% ±24 | 31% ±52 | 65% | 5.0d | 0.41% | 0.17% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,822.01 (+1.5%) | 4.0 | 10.1% | 16h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 22% ±31 | 28% ±15 | 41% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 2% ±4 | 22% ±31 | 36% ±67 | 67% | 5.1d | 0.44% | 0.34% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,800.96 (+1.2%) | 3.1 | 3.7% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 35% ±54 | 19% ±18 | 52% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 24% ±19 | 34% ±54 | 75% | 95% | 2.0d | 0.57% | 0.41% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,751.55 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 2.3% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 70% ±40 | 24% ±20 | 43% ±23 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 40% ±17 | 70% ±37 | 91% ±39 | 97% | 20h | 0.50% | 0.34% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,722.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 50% ±37 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 40% ±15 | 49% ±37 | 54% ±69 | 56% | 2.8d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 41 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.