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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-18 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.5%) | 3.8 | 1.7% | 2h | 7.5d ago · 49× | 14% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±17 | 40% ±43 | 59% ±68 | 5.1d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,868.94–6,881.5 (+1.0%) | 2.6 | 6.1% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 22% ±20 | 25% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±19 | 43% ±40 | 71% ±63 | 4.1d | 0.43% | 0.21% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,847.64 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 11.4% | 20h | 5.5d ago · 51× | 39% ±36 | 37% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 15% ±10 | 38% ±34 | 66% ±54 | 83% | 2.0d | 0.41% | 0.17% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,822.01 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 11.0% | 17h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 75% ±26 | 28% ±15 | 41% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 62% ±12 | 74% ±26 | 87% ±33 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 0.44% | 0.34% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,800.96 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.0% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 88% ±29 | 23% ±19 | 50% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 65% ±17 | 85% ±31 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 1h | 0.62% | 0.40% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,798.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,751.55 (-0.7%) | 1.7 | 2.5% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 53% ±33 | 26% ±15 | 47% ±17 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 42% ±14 | 53% ±33 | 66% ±54 | 77% | 23h | 0.90% | 0.27% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-1.5%) | 3.8 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 16% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 12% ±8 | 15% ±22 | 34% ±53 | 40% | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 57 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,798.67 | 6,822.01 | 6,729.14 | target | +0.33% |