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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-19 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.0%) | 2.6 | 1.7% | 2h | 7.4d ago · 49× | 24% ±22 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 9% ±6 | 24% ±22 | 55% ±44 | 73% ±61 | 2.9d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 6,865.02–6,868.94 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 58% ±28 | 29% ±15 | 43% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 37 | 39% ±11 | 57% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 87% ±47 | 20h | 0.49% | 0.24% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,836.65–6,839 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 12.3% | 1.0d | 5.2d ago · 71× | 86% ±20 | 26% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 71% ±10 | 85% ±20 | 90% ±29 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.37% | 0.17% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,834.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,832.65 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 12.4% | 1.0d | 7.4d ago · 75× | 83% ±25 | 26% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 65% ±12 | 83% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 95% | 1h | 0.50% | 0.24% | 58 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,765.39–6,782.66 (-0.8%) | 2.0 | 2.6% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 29% ±28 | 27% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 36 | 17% ±9 | 28% ±27 | 45% ±49 | 61% ±67 | 3.1d | 0.88% | 0.42% | 63 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.