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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-22 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 1.6% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 56% ±32 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 34% ±12 | 55% ±31 | 82% ±43 | 97% | 22h | 0.53% | 0.28% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,882.03 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 83% ±20 | 19% ±12 | 53% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 67% ±10 | 83% ±20 | 90% ±26 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 0.33% | 0.16% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,876.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,868.68–6,874.76 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.0% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 75% ±27 | 28% ±14 | 36% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 40 | 60% ±12 | 75% ±27 | 84% ±42 | 88% | 2h | 0.49% | 0.24% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,836.65 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 11.4% | 22h | 5.5d ago · 63× | 37% ±36 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 20% ±12 | 36% ±36 | 62% ±67 | 69% | 2.0d | 0.57% | 0.17% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,778.61 (-1.4%) | 4.5 | 2.1% | 4h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 13% ±16 | 26% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 6% ±4 | 13% ±15 | 28% ±36 | 54% ±56 | 6.9d | 0.86% | 0.35% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,765.39–6,766.19 (-1.6%) | 5.0 | 2.3% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 11% ±16 | 29% ±17 | 31% ±17 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±16 | 27% ±39 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 0.89% | 0.49% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.