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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 1.6% | 1h | 7.5d ago · 49× | 74% ±25 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 50% ±11 | 72% ±26 | 87% ±33 | 97% ±23 | 4h | 0.53% | 0.28% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,883.26 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 86% ±19 | 19% ±12 | 53% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 70% ±11 | 86% ±19 | 91% ±29 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 0.33% | 0.16% | 72 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,881.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 6,868.68–6,875.55 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 6.9% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 75× | 74% ±26 | 28% ±14 | 36% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 40 | 57% ±12 | 74% ±26 | 83% ±37 | 87% ±47 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.24% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,836.65 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 11.6% | 22h | 5.4d ago · 63× | 28% ±36 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 14% ±11 | 27% ±33 | 58% ±68 | 66% | 2.0d | 0.57% | 0.17% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,765.39–6,776.99 (-1.5%) | 4.7 | 2.2% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 11% ±14 | 27% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 36 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±13 | 26% ±32 | 40% ±55 | 6.9d | 0.88% | 0.42% | 117 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.