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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,901.03–6,903.46 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.7% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 88% ±18 | 24% ±13 | 46% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 44 | 71% ±11 | 89% ±18 | 93% ±24 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 0.41% | 0.21% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,899.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 30D POC | 6,868.94–6,874.84 (-0.4%) | 1.1 | 6.9% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 54% ±27 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 40 | 35% ±10 | 54% ±26 | 71% ±40 | 78% ±57 | 1.2d | 0.50% | 0.24% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,836.65 (-0.9%) | 2.9 | 11.3% | 22h | 5.5d ago · 63× | 19% ±27 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 8% ±8 | 18% ±27 | 39% ±55 | 56% | 6.9d | 0.57% | 0.17% | 49 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,778.22 (-1.8%) | 5.5 | 2.1% | 4h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 9% ±13 | 26% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±13 | 26% ±35 | 52% ±57 | 7.0d | 0.86% | 0.35% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,764.36–6,765.39 (-1.9%) | 6.1 | 2.3% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 8% ±13 | 29% ±17 | 31% ±17 | 40% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 21% ±33 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | 0.89% | 0.49% | 102 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.