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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,910.88 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.3% | 1h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 93% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 71% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±23 | 96% | 1h | 0.53% | 0.28% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,909.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,880.41 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 5h | 13.6d ago · 40× | 53% ±44 | 14% ±15 | 50% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 39% ±18 | 52% ±44 | 66% ±66 | 73% | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.12% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,870.89 (-0.6%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 52× | 29% ±36 | 24% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 17% ±13 | 29% ±36 | 52% ±69 | 67% | 2.1d | 0.35% | 0.26% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,831.84 (-1.1%) | 5.1 | 8.5% | 14h | 5.5d ago · 75× | 11% ±21 | 25% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 34% ±15 | 40 | 6% ±7 | 10% ±21 | 29% ±52 | 55% | 6.9d | 0.53% | 0.21% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,807.22 (-1.5%) | 6.8 | 4.2% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 48× | 13% ±20 | 39% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±20 | 30% ±45 | 55% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.54% | 0.25% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,772.66 (-2.0%) | 9.1 | 1.6% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 5% ±9 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 10% ±22 | 14% ±40 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 133 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,764.23 (-2.1%) | 9.6 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 6% ±12 | 27% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 3% ±4 | 6% ±12 | 21% ±36 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.48% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,720.43 (-2.7%) | 13 | 1.1% | 42m | 7.3d ago · 67× | 12% ±28 | 26% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 12% ±11 | 12% ±28 | 26% ±61 | 44% | > 7d | 0.86% | 0.35% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.