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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,935.7 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.1% | 28m | 7.7d ago · 49× | 93% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 71% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±22 | 96% | 1h | 0.53% | 0.28% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,934.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,884.04 (-0.7%) | 3.8 | 2.9% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 40× | 24% ±38 | 14% ±15 | 50% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 12% ±11 | 24% ±37 | 39% ±68 | 58% | 6.1d | 0.38% | 0.12% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,875.42 (-0.9%) | 4.5 | 2.9% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 52× | 30% ±52 | 24% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 19% ±17 | 29% ±51 | 39% | 44% | > 7d | 0.35% | 0.26% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,831.66–6,833.45 (-1.5%) | 7.6 | 8.0% | 14h | 5.5d ago · 75× | 12% ±18 | 32% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 35% ±15 | 41 | 6% ±5 | 12% ±18 | 31% ±45 | 54% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.52% | 0.24% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,824.84 (-1.6%) | 8.2 | 8.0% | 10h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 10% ±21 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 8% ±8 | 10% ±21 | 28% ±51 | 59% | 6.9d | 0.57% | 0.17% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,796.99 (-2.0%) | 10 | 2.7% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 4% ±9 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 10% ±20 | 14% ±39 | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 136 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,763.48 (-2.5%) | 13 | 1.5% | 1h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 7% ±14 | 27% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±14 | 26% ±43 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 0.67% | 0.48% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,720.43 (-3.1%) | 16 | 0.9% | 38m | 7.4d ago · 67× | 25% ±60 | 26% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 22% ±23 | 22% ±58 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | 0.86% | 0.35% | 12 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.