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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-26 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,945.77 (+0.1%) | 0.0 | 85.1% | 4.9d | 5.3d ago · 71× | 89% ±18 | 19% ±11 | 52% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 45 | 74% ±10 | 89% ±18 | 93% ±25 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 0.31% | 0.16% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,935.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,737.4–6,911.04 (-0.4%) | 0.0 | 93.8% | 5.3d | 5.3d ago · 75× | 73% ±28 | 25% ±13 | 38% ±15 | 37% ±15 | 42 | 59% ±12 | 73% ±28 | 80% ±45 | 85% | 5h | 0.66% | 0.34% | 61 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.