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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-02 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,945.77 (+1.3%) | 5.1 | 0.9% | 13m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 11% ±16 | 28% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 26% ±14 | 40 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±38 | 51% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 6,902.47–6,914.46 (+0.6%) | 2.6 | 3.8% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 26% ±24 | 25% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 49 | 6% ±5 | 26% ±24 | 43% ±48 | 77% ±59 | 3.9d | 0.41% | 0.19% | 77 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,858.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,856.92 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.8% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 85% ±20 | 23% ±13 | 50% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 69% ±11 | 85% ±20 | 90% ±29 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 0.83% | 0.27% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,841.58 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 9.0% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 68% ±28 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 49% ±12 | 69% ±27 | 81% ±39 | 82% ±53 | 18h | 0.71% | 0.21% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,806.85 (-0.8%) | 3.0 | 3.7% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 58× | 19% ±23 | 25% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 9% ±7 | 18% ±23 | 37% ±47 | 50% ±69 | 5.9d | 1.04% | 0.44% | 66 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.